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Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock action on Thursday - StuffsEarth
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September 25, 2024 Indian benchmark equity indices hit lifetime highs for the fifth consecutive session on Wednesday, driven by gains in heavyweight financial and energy stocks, while small-cap stocks declined for a second straight day.
The Nifty 50 reversed in the final hour of trade to close 0.25% higher at 26,004 points, while the BSE Sensex rose 0.3% to 85,169, both reaching all-time highs. Earlier in the session, both indices had dipped by as much as 0.2%.
Here’s how analysts read the market pulse:
“The Nifty made another lifetime high as bulls seemed in no mood to back down, despite a weak start. The sentiment is likely to remain positive as long as it remains above 25,900, where aggressive put writing was visible. Technically, the Nifty has sustained above its very short-term moving average. Furthermore, no reversal is visible in the momentum indicator. Therefore, we might witness a range-bound to positive move in the near term. Resistance on the higher end, is seen at 26200-26250,” said Rupak De of LKP Securities.
Hrishikesh Yedve, Asit C Mehta Investment Interrmediates, said, “Technically, the index is on the verge of crossing the upper trend line resistance of the channel pattern, which is around the range of 26,000 levels. If the index sustains above 26,000 levels, then it could test the levels of 26,200. On the downside, 25,800 will serve as a short-term support for the index. Thus, buy on dips strategy should be adopted in Nifty for the short term.” That said, here’s a look at what some key indicators are suggesting for Thursday’s action:US market: Wall Street’s main indexes showed mixed results on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 staying close to a record high as investors looked for more signals regarding the economy and potential interest rate cuts.The three major indexes remained buoyed by monthly gains following the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate reduction, which bolstered hopes for a soft landing. However, a disappointing consumer sentiment report released on Tuesday raised concerns about the strength of the labor market.
Eight of the 11 S&P 500 sectors climbed, led by defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples. In contrast, energy stocks fell, posting a 0.9% loss.
The yield on long-term Treasury bonds inched up amid fears that easing financial conditions might spark inflationary pressures.
European stocks: Europe’s STOXX 600 closed slightly down on Wednesday, as energy stocks followed crude oil prices lower. Meanwhile, Germany’s SAP fell amid news of a U.S. investigation into the software developer regarding price-fixing allegations. The pan-European STOXX 600 index ended 0.1% lower, breaking a two-day streak of gains.
The oil and gas sector led the major STOXX sectors in losses, declining 1.7%. Crude oil prices fell by more than 1% as investors reevaluated the potential impact of China’s latest stimulus plans on its economy and fuel demand in the world’s largest crude importer.
Tech View: Small positive candle A small positive candle on the daily chart with minor upper shadow indicates a breather action for the Nifty after a sharp surge. The near-term uptrend status of Nifty remains intact. One may expect further range bound action or minor dip in the next 1-2 sessions. Immediate resistance to be watched around 26250 and support is at 25800, said Nagaraj Shetti of HDFC Securities.
In the open interest (OI) data, the highest OI on the call side was observed at 26,000 and 26,200 strike prices, while on the put side, the highest OI was at 25,900 strike price followed by 25,800. Stocks showing bullish bias: Momentum indicator Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed bullish trade on the counters of TVS Holdings, Ceat, Tata Communications, Ipca Laboratories, and Dalmia Bharat among others.
The MACD is known for signaling trend reversals in traded securities or indices. When the MACD crosses above the signal line, it gives a bullish signal, indicating that the price of the security may see an upward movement and vice versa. Stocks signaling weakness ahead: The MACD showed bearish signs on the counters of Page Industries, Bajaj Holdings, Coforge, Sundaram Finance, Radico Khaitan, Hawkins Cookers, and Titan Company among others. Bearish crossover on the MACD on these counters indicated that they have just begun their downward journey. Most active stocks in value terms: Easy Trip Planners (Rs 3,027 crore), HDFC Bank (Rs 2,843 crore), Power Grid (Rs 1,475 crore), IEX (Rs 1,465 crore), SBI (Rs 1,463 crore), Zomato (Rs 1,363 crore), and HEG (Rs 1,359 crore) among others were among the most active stocks on NSE in value terms. Higher activity on a counter in value terms can help identify the counters with highest trading turnovers in the day. Most active stocks in volume terms: Easy Trip Planners (Shares traded: 83.7 crore), Vodafone Idea (Shares traded: 38.6 crore), IEX (Shares traded: 7.1 crore), PNB (Shares traded: 7.1 crore), Zee Entertainment (Shares traded: 5.9 crore), Tata Steel (Shares traded: 5.8 crore), and YES Bank (Shares traded: 5.6 crore) among others were among the most traded stocks in the session on NSE. Stocks showing buying interest: Shares of Saregama India, eClerx Services, Tata Communications, Power Grid, Ceat, Campus Activewear, and NTPC among others witnessed strong buying interest from market participants as they scaled their fresh 52-week highs, signaling bullish sentiment. Stocks seeing selling pressure: Shares of Easy Trip Planners hit their 52-week lows, signaling bearish sentiment on the counter. Sentiment meter bears: Overall, market breadth favoured bears as 2,305 stocks ended in the red, while 1,661 names settled in the green.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
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